Saturday, December 17, 2011

What are the statistics about fatal plane crashes within the United States?

I'm talking about plane crashes on major airlines, not like a private jet or anything like that. I'm referring to like a Jet Blue or Delta flight, and I'm only asking about flights within the continental USA, like from New York to Nevada or something like that. I've heard that the stats are 1 in a million but that sounds like it might just be hyperbolic.


Thanks.|||1 in a million is _not_ hyperbolic. There are lots of ways of expressing the risk, and that is one way. Regardless, flying if by far the safest way to travel.





You can find tons of data from the NTSB, specifically:





http://www.ntsb.gov/aviation/Table6.htm


Summary of accidents for US carriers from 1991, includes # of accidents, # of fatalities, # of flights, miles and hours flown.





Also:


http://www.ntsb.gov/aviationquery/index.鈥?/a>


Which is a searchable data base of accidents. You can specify date ranges, locations (country or down to the state/city level), airline, type of aircraft, commercial, private, scheduled and so on.





In the past 9 1/2 years (from 2002 to the present), there have been a total of 9 crashes with fatalities, in which a total of 157 people died. During that same time period (through the end of 2010), there have been more than:


. . . . 60,959,251 hours flown


67,639,054,000 miles flown


. . . .92,786,070 departures





Since about 100 people die from vehicle accidents in the US %26lt;every day%26gt;, during the same period of time, about 345,000 people have been killed in auto accidents.





It is pretty obvious which method of travel is safer.|||There hasn't been a crash by a major airline since 2009 and most major airlines in the US haven't had a fatal crash since many years before that. JetBlue has never had a fatal crash and Delta since 2006. I don't know the exact odds, but considering the number of flights in the US, your numbers probably aren't too far off. You can check stats here:


http://www.airsafe.com/airline.htm

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